Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003616 0.003791 0.003971 0.004168 0.004379 0.004598 0.004843
2025-02-02 0.003384 0.003657 0.003948 0.004283 0.004657 0.005065 0.005546
2025-02-09 0.003145 0.003466 0.003817 0.004231 0.004710 0.005250 0.005908
2025-02-16 0.002991 0.003347 0.003746 0.004228 0.004799 0.005461 0.006293
2025-02-23 0.002853 0.003235 0.003669 0.004205 0.004855 0.005625 0.006620
2025-03-02 0.002772 0.003180 0.003653 0.004247 0.004982 0.005874 0.007057
2025-03-09 0.002661 0.003083 0.003578 0.004210 0.005007 0.005993 0.007330
2025-03-16 0.002561 0.002993 0.003507 0.004172 0.005023 0.006097 0.007584
2025-03-23 0.002456 0.002892 0.003417 0.004104 0.004997 0.006141 0.007756
2025-03-30 0.002362 0.002801 0.003335 0.004042 0.004972 0.006183 0.007924
2025-04-06 0.002308 0.002758 0.003310 0.004050 0.005039 0.006346 0.008264
2025-04-13 0.002190 0.002629 0.003171 0.003905 0.004893 0.006214 0.008179
2025-04-20 0.002146 0.002594 0.003154 0.003921 0.004968 0.006392 0.008553
2025-04-27 0.002141 0.002610 0.003203 0.004025 0.005169 0.006754 0.009219
2025-05-04 0.002075 0.002544 0.003141 0.003978 0.005155 0.006810 0.009428
2025-05-11 0.002030 0.002504 0.003113 0.003975 0.005202 0.006954 0.009778
2025-05-18 0.001981 0.002457 0.003073 0.003954 0.005222 0.007057 0.010069
2025-05-25 0.001958 0.002443 0.003077 0.003992 0.005329 0.007293 0.010584
2025-06-01 0.001909 0.002393 0.003031 0.003959 0.005327 0.007364 0.010833
2025-06-08 0.001863 0.002345 0.002985 0.003923 0.005321 0.007427 0.011070
2025-06-15 0.001809 0.002286 0.002922 0.003861 0.005272 0.007419 0.011184
2025-06-22 0.001759 0.002231 0.002863 0.003804 0.005227 0.007416 0.011307
2025-06-29 0.001733 0.002209 0.002850 0.003811 0.005282 0.007574 0.011719